Independent Dissident. I don’t follow “The Science” (TM). I follow the Data. –“When there is no such thing as truth, you can’t define reality. & when you can’t define reality, the only thing that matters is power.” — Maajid Nawaz
Don’t follow the herd, follow your own internal compass
Ethics
"Veritas vos liberabit"
"The comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because it is right." -- Dr. Martin Luther King
"Rättvisa handlar inte om lika utfall, utan om lika spelregler" -- Alice Teodorescu
“The mediocre teacher tells. The good teacher explains. The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires.” ― William Arthur Ward
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" -- John Maynard Keynes
""Don't attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by a contract." -- Anonymous
"Without deviations from the norm, progress is not possible" -- Frank Zappa
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy and they in turn must study those subjects so that their children can study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain." -- John Adams, Americas II president
"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
"The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." -- Edmund Burke
"Being normal is being merely average" -- Shawn Achor
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” -- Upton Sinclair
"I do not agree with what you have to say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it." -- VoltaireSystems view
"Our organization was designed for a problem that no longer existed; we had brought an industrial age force to an information-age conflict." --Stan McChrystal- A/B Testing
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Tag Archives: Pandas
Fooled by probability – Monty Hall Problem
“You made a mistake, but look at the positive side. If all those Ph.D.’s were wrong, the country would be in some very serious trouble.” Everett Harman, Ph.D. U.S. Army Research Institute Probability is a terrible branch of science, I … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics
Tagged Monty Hall, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, Python, Statistics
3 Comments
Fast Fourier Transform – An Intuition
One of my favorite youtube channels, 3Blue1Brown, has a great video on the intuition of the FFT. Check the video above. Below Python code to implement that intuition:
Python Pandas – descriptive stats from a frequency table
Suppose you are a teacher, and want to keep track of and do some simple descriptive stats on your student’s scores in a number of subjects. So you have recorded scores in a frequency table as below: Left-most column has … Continue reading
Covid-19 Sweden: A summary
Sweden has been painted as the Black Sheep of the international community with respect to its ways to deal with the Covid-19 virus. People and orginizations around the world were very quick to paint Sweden as the Sodom & Gomorra … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, MCMC, Pandas, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Python, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Economy, Epidemics, Matplotlib, MCMC, Pandas, Politics, Probability, PYMC, Python, Society, Statistics
4 Comments
Sweden : Age adjusted deaths 2000-2020
Population demographics have a significant impact on the number of deaths in a society. Among the many demographic factors that impact number of deaths is age. Other confounding factors (which will not be dealt with in this post) include general … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics, Epidemics, Pandas
Tagged Data Analysis, Epidemics, Pandas, SImpson's Paradox
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Corona Sweden : Infection Fatality Rate
It’s been a while ago since I ran my MCMC-hack to estimate the Swedish Infection Fatality Rate, main reason being that each run takes an awful lot of computing time, around 10h, to get the MCMC to converge… and during … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, MCMC, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Matplotlib, MCMC, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics
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Corona – What’s the true Mortality Rate, and how many infected are there, anyways…? [in all likelihood, some good news!]
[Note: this is a somewhat technical / mathematical article, so those of you who only want the daily Corona updates, “the current numbers”, might want to skip this one] As we all probably know by now, the official numbers on … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Finance, Pandas, Probability, Pystan, Python, Research, Simulation, Society, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics
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Corona Update 2020-03-15
Data up until yesterday: Sweden still on track to 10000 infected by 20th March, and 100.000 a week after that. At global level, the virus is now growing fast again, after having slowed down considerably in mid-feb. Mean growth factor … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Pandas, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Society, Statistics
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Corona Update 2020-03-13
Unfortunately, the good folks at JohnHopkins, from where I normally pull the Corona daily data, seem now to have some inconsistencies in their datasets; for instance, neither Italy, Spain nor Finland, according to those datasets, showed any new cases between … Continue reading
Posted in Big Government, Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Leadership, Organization, Pandas, Politik, Research, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Big Business, Big Government, Epidemics, Pandas, Politics, Research, Society, Statistics
3 Comments
Corona update 2020-03-12
Update with data up until yesterday: Looking carefully at the black line, representing global nr of infected, it seems to start slowly rising again, after having previously been slowing down. Next chart might explain why: Below chart shows the Top-10 … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Pandas, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Life, Pandas, Politics, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics
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systems perestroika - éminence grise 