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Educate-Inspire-Change
Empty Suit
Definition: An amateur who's been given the power to set the goals & objectives for professionals to follow, and thinks of himself as a strong leader.Ethics
"Veritas vos liberabit"
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Top Posts & Pages past few days
- Corona Sweden - time to batten down the hatches...?
- Corona - estimated true mortality rate presented using a Nomogram
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- Capturing NMEA sentences over WiFi using Python
- Corona - Sweden, The Anomaly: pure luck or are we doing something right...?
- Parsing NMEA 0183 sentences in Python
- Corona - ratio of daily deaths caused by Corona, by country
- Python,Pandas, Statsmodels: Linear Regression - dealing with categorical data
- Image processing with Python, Numpy & Scipy - image convolution
- A great illustration of the Swedish Corona strategy
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Category Archives: Research
Corona Sweden & some selected countries – trends
[All data obtained from Johns Hopkins CSSE] Data up including yesterday (GMT): Summary: It still looks like the current strategy is working, and the jump in number of deceased over the past few days lead to the limit on people … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics, Epidemics, Research, Statistics
Tagged Data Analysis, Epidemics, Research, Statistics
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Corona Sweden – day of reckoning coming up!
A couple of days ago I pointed out that thus far, Sweden was an anomaly in the Corona dataset: – despite almost no restrictions on daily life – the restaurants and shops are still open, public transportation operates as normally … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Organization, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Politics, Probability, PYMC, Research, Statistics, Sweden
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Corona – Sweden Anomaly or not…? It’s all about the slopes…!
[UPDATE 2020-03-25 : A couple of interesting pieces, {article article2} about “The Swedish Way to deal with Corona”, where among others German scientists state that the swedish way is an optimal model for how to deal with Corona in order … Continue reading
Posted in Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Organization, Probability, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Data Analysis, Epidemics, organization, Politics, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
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Corona – Sweden, The Anomaly: pure luck or are we doing something right…?
[UPDATE 2020-03-25: for numbers relative to population sizes, see here. And here is a great illustration of what I believe is the Swedish strategy for dealing with Corona] Sweden is, at least for time being, an anomaly in the Corona … Continue reading
Posted in Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Organization, Politik, Research, Society, Statistics
Tagged Data Analysis, Epidemics, organization, Politics, Society, Statistics
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Corona – What’s the true Mortality Rate, and how many infected are there, anyways…? [in all likelihood, some good news!]
[Note: this is a somewhat technical / mathematical article, so those of you who only want the daily Corona updates, “the current numbers”, might want to skip this one] As we all probably know by now, the official numbers on … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Finance, Pandas, Probability, Pystan, Python, Research, Simulation, Society, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics
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Corona – ratio of daily deaths caused by Corona, by country
Noticed something interesting (and possibly frightening) when I browsed the COVID1-19 death statistics, published by Johns Hopkins University: What I looked at this time (as illustrated in the graph below) is the ratio of deaths per day, presumably caused by … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics, Epidemics, Leadership, Organization, Politik, Research, Society, Statistics
Tagged Data Analysis, Epidemics, leadership, organization, Politics, Society, Statistics
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Corona – some patterns & some hope from the experiences from China
Since China now has declared that they have beaten Corona, i.e. the virus no longer grows, let’s have a look at what the rise and eventual fall of the virus in China looked like (all graphs on standardized scales): First, … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Epidemics, Politics, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics
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Corona – Sweden: at least 10.000 infected as of today, 2020-03-20
For exactly a week ago, when the Swedish number of infected was 814, I predicted (more correctly: my Bayesian Model did) that today, March 20, Sweden would have 10.000 infected. Looking at today’s official numbers, it seems that I was … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Functional Stupidity, Organization, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, business, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Functional Stupidity, Life, organization, Politics, PYMC, Research, Science, Society, Statistics
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Corona – Countries with fastest growth
[UPDATE 23:10 GMT +1: USA growth factor is now increasing rapidly. My guess is that today’s numbers are now being coming in in massé] Corona continues to spread fast – as we speak, we’ve had 14800 new cases, world wide, … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics, Epidemics, Research, Statistics
Tagged Data Analysis, Epidemics
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Corona Update 2020-03-15
Data up until yesterday: Sweden still on track to 10000 infected by 20th March, and 100.000 a week after that. At global level, the virus is now growing fast again, after having slowed down considerably in mid-feb. Mean growth factor … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Pandas, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Society, Statistics
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