Category Archives: Research

Corona Sweden & some selected countries – trends

[All data  obtained from Johns Hopkins CSSE] Data up including yesterday (GMT): Summary: It still looks like the current strategy is working, and the jump in number of deceased over the past few days lead to the limit on people … Continue reading

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Corona Sweden – day of reckoning coming up!

A couple of days ago I pointed out that thus far, Sweden was an anomaly in the Corona dataset: – despite almost no restrictions on daily life – the restaurants and shops are still open, public transportation operates as normally … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden Anomaly or not…? It’s all about the slopes…!

[UPDATE 2020-03-25 : A couple of  interesting pieces, {article article2} about “The Swedish Way to deal with Corona”, where among others German scientists state that the swedish way is an optimal model for how to deal with Corona in order … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden, The Anomaly: pure luck or are we doing something right…?

[UPDATE 2020-03-25: for numbers relative to population sizes, see here. And here is a great illustration of what I believe is the Swedish strategy for dealing with Corona] Sweden is, at least for time being, an anomaly in the Corona … Continue reading

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Corona – What’s the true Mortality Rate, and how many infected are there, anyways…? [in all likelihood, some good news!]

[Note: this is a somewhat technical / mathematical article, so those of you who only want the daily Corona updates, “the current numbers”, might want to skip this one] As we all probably know by now, the official numbers on … Continue reading

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Corona – ratio of daily deaths caused by Corona, by country

Noticed something interesting (and possibly frightening) when I browsed the COVID1-19 death statistics, published by Johns Hopkins University: What I looked at this time (as illustrated in the graph below) is the ratio of deaths per day, presumably caused by … Continue reading

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Corona – some patterns & some hope from the experiences from China

Since China now has declared that they have beaten Corona, i.e. the virus no longer grows, let’s have a look at what the rise and eventual fall of the virus in China looked like (all graphs on standardized scales): First, … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden: at least 10.000 infected as of today, 2020-03-20

For exactly a week ago, when the Swedish number of infected was 814, I predicted (more correctly: my Bayesian Model did) that today, March 20, Sweden would have 10.000 infected. Looking at today’s official numbers, it seems that I was … Continue reading

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Corona – Countries with fastest growth

[UPDATE 23:10 GMT +1: USA growth factor is now increasing rapidly. My guess is that today’s numbers are now being coming in in massé] Corona continues to spread fast – as we speak, we’ve had 14800 new cases, world wide, … Continue reading

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Corona Update 2020-03-15

Data up until yesterday: Sweden still on track to 10000 infected by 20th March, and 100.000 a week after that. At global level, the virus is now growing fast again, after having slowed down considerably in mid-feb. Mean growth factor … Continue reading

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