Independent Dissident. I don’t follow “The Science” (TM). I follow the Data. –“When there is no such thing as truth, you can’t define reality. & when you can’t define reality, the only thing that matters is power.” — Maajid Nawaz
Don’t follow the herd, follow your own internal compass
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"Veritas vos liberabit"
"The comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because it is right." -- Dr. Martin Luther King
"Rättvisa handlar inte om lika utfall, utan om lika spelregler" -- Alice Teodorescu
“The mediocre teacher tells. The good teacher explains. The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires.” ― William Arthur Ward
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" -- John Maynard Keynes
""Don't attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by a contract." -- Anonymous
"Without deviations from the norm, progress is not possible" -- Frank Zappa
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy and they in turn must study those subjects so that their children can study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain." -- John Adams, Americas II president
"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
"The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." -- Edmund Burke
"Being normal is being merely average" -- Shawn Achor
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” -- Upton Sinclair
"I do not agree with what you have to say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it." -- VoltaireSystems view
"Our organization was designed for a problem that no longer existed; we had brought an industrial age force to an information-age conflict." --Stan McChrystal- A/B Testing
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Monthly Archives: July 2020
The Virus Doesn’t Care about Your Policies
“If there is a broad-based research study using real data that demonstrates something life-saving about destroying rights and liberties in the name of virus control, I’ve yet to see it. Meanwhile, we are overwhelmed with evidence that it was all … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics
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Excellent post by @debunkingdenialism about Covid Sweden
Sweden Did Not Take Herd Immunity Approach Against Coronavirus Pandemic
Facebook censors this article about Covid Sweden
This is amazing…! I’ve heard about social media censoring “offensive” posts, but this is the first time I’ve experienced it myself… This article is IMO a great summary on the facts about Covid in Sweden – and since I’ve followed … Continue reading
Want to understand Covid-19…?
The best 90 min spent if you want to understand Covid-19.
SWEDEN COVID-19 status July 27th
SCB.se just released their weekly preliminary numbers on all cause deaths, up until July 24th. Since the numbers are preliminary, by previous experience we know that the last data point, representing July 17-24, will very likely be revised, slightly upwards. … Continue reading
Why Sweden Succeeded in “Flattening the Curve” and New York Failed | Jon Miltimore
If flattening the curve was the primary goal of policymakers, Sweden was a success. New York, on the other hand, was not, despite widespread closures and strict enforcement of social distancing policies. Sweden’s approach of encouraging social distancing by giving … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics
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The Models Were Wildly Wrong about Reopening Too
“These flawed models begin with an unproven assumption, namely that lockdowns are effective at combating the coronavirus. The models are therefore automatically calibrated to produce a sharp spike in deaths after the removal of lockdowns or any move toward reopening.” … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics
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COVID-19 – are lockdowns effective…?
Using https://covidtracker.bsg.ox.ac.uk/ – an index that measures the stringency of measures taken by different governments to prevent the spread of Covid-19 – as predictor for deaths per million reveals that lockdowns are pretty much useless… Below chart based on data … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, MCMC
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, MCMC
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When Will the Madness End?
“We’ve learned throughout this ordeal that despite our technology, our knowledge, our history of building prosperity and peace, we are no smarter than our ancestors and, by some measures, not as smart as our parents and grandparents. The experience with … Continue reading
Posted in Culture, Epidemics, Society
Tagged Culture, Epidemics, Madness_of_Crowds, Society
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systems perestroika - éminence grise 