Independent Dissident. I don’t follow “The Science” (TM). I follow the Data. –“When there is no such thing as truth, you can’t define reality. & when you can’t define reality, the only thing that matters is power.” — Maajid Nawaz
Don’t follow the herd, follow your own internal compass
Ethics
"Veritas vos liberabit"
"The comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because it is right." -- Dr. Martin Luther King
"Rättvisa handlar inte om lika utfall, utan om lika spelregler" -- Alice Teodorescu
“The mediocre teacher tells. The good teacher explains. The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires.” ― William Arthur Ward
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" -- John Maynard Keynes
""Don't attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by a contract." -- Anonymous
"Without deviations from the norm, progress is not possible" -- Frank Zappa
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy and they in turn must study those subjects so that their children can study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain." -- John Adams, Americas II president
"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
"The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." -- Edmund Burke
"Being normal is being merely average" -- Shawn Achor
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” -- Upton Sinclair
"I do not agree with what you have to say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it." -- VoltaireSystems view
"Our organization was designed for a problem that no longer existed; we had brought an industrial age force to an information-age conflict." --Stan McChrystal- A/B Testing
- agile
- AI
- algorithm
- Artificial Intelligence
- Bayes
- Big Data
- Big Government
- Black Swan
- Brottsstatistik
- business
- complex systems
- covid
- Culture
- Data Analysis
- development
- Dynamic Non-linear systems
- Empty Suit
- Energy
- environment
- Epidemics
- Eurostat
- Feature Centric Development
- FFT
- Functional Stupidity
- Gambling
- Gephi
- global finance
- GPS
- Grandiosity
- HOCKEY-2018
- image processing
- innovation
- leadership
- LinearRegression
- Machine Learning
- management
- Math
- Matplotlib
- MCMC
- Monte Carlo
- Navigation
- Neural networks
- Numpy
- organization
- Pandas
- Politics
- Politik
- Power
- Probability
- programming
- Psychology
- PYMC
- Pystan
- Python
- Radical management
- Research
- Samhälle
- Science
- Scipy
- SelfOptimizingAgile
- Simulation
- SNA
- Society
- software
- sports
- STAN
- Statistics
- Steve Denning
- Surveillance
- Sverige
- systems
- Technology
- The Great Reset
- Val2018
Follow me on Twitter
My Tweets-
Recent Posts
Top Posts & Pages past few days
- About
- Probability of a random man/woman pair where the woman is taller than the man ?
- Distribution of distributions in 3D
- More fun with Python: Navigational tricks - AIS NMEA encoding/decoding
- Wind Speed Distribution - is it Normal...?
- Parsing NMEA 0183 sentences in Python
- Guest Blogger Paul Pascalau: sammanfattning av svenska Covid-läget
- Final Report on Swedish Mortality 2020, Anno Covidius
- Åsikter är som arschlen - alla har dem... Men vad baseras de på...? Dunning & Kruger är i högsta grad levande
Archives
- March 2024
- August 2023
- July 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- May 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- October 2014
- September 2014
- June 2014
- May 2014
- April 2014
- March 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- August 2013
- July 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
Blogroll
Top Clicks
Categories
- A/B Testing
- Agile
- AI
- anti-science
- API
- Bayes
- Behavioral Economics
- Big Business
- Big Data
- Big Government
- Boating
- Business
- Climate
- Complex Systems
- Computer Science
- Corpotocracy
- Culture
- Data Analytics
- Data Driven Management
- Defense
- development
- Economy
- Energy
- Epidemics
- FIFA
- Finance
- Functional Stupidity
- Future
- Gambling
- Global Catastrophic Risk
- Grandiosity
- HOCKEY-2018
- Innovation
- IoT
- Journalism
- Kanban
- KERAS
- Leadership
- Lean
- Machine Learning
- Management
- Maritime Technology
- Math
- MCMC
- Money
- Nautical Information Systems
- Neural networks
- NMEA
- Non Linear Dynamic Systems
- Numpy
- Organization
- Pandas
- performance
- Physics
- Politik
- Probability
- Psychology
- PYMC
- Pystan
- Python
- Research
- Science
- SelfOptimizingAgile
- Simulation
- SNA
- Social Credit System
- Society
- software
- sports
- STAN
- Statistics
- Surveillance
- Sverige
- Systems
- TCPIP
- Technology
- Telecom
- The Great Reset
- Uncategorized
- Web
Meta
Monthly Archives: February 2018
Olympics 2018 – Medals
As per 20180224.
2018 Olympics – Medals per capita (thus far)
[Update 20180224: updated per capita, plus a graph showing “Total Points”, where Gold gives 3p, Silver 2p, Bronze 1p]
Distribution of distributions in 3D
Just a quick add-on to my previous post on yet another way to present multidimensional data: To recap, we have a “distribution of distributions”, where each distribution has two dimensions, mu and sigma. In the previous post, I chose to present … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Data Driven Management, Math, Numpy, Probability, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Matplotlib, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Leave a comment
Homicide by firearms – statistics country by country
I wanted to experiment a bit with a for me previously unknown Python library, “Beautiful Soup”, which is an html and xml parser. So I used the Soup to grab data from a Wikipedia page, and massaged it a bit … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics, Python, Society, Statistics
Tagged Pandas, Python, Society, Statistics
Leave a comment
Tiny Data – Bayesian dirty socks – but how many were there in the laundry machine…?
I found this very illuminating short tutorial video on Approximate Bayesian Computation, by Rasmus Bååth, on youtube, and since Rasmus example uses R as the implementation language, I decided to implement the example in Python. The problem at hand is … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Data Driven Management, Numpy, Probability, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Matplotlib, Numpy, Probability, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Leave a comment
Size Matters, particularly in prediction
A follow-up on my previous post on statistical significance and hypothesis-testing: Let’s say we pull a number of samples, as in the previous post, from both a control group and a test group. Let’s also say that for the samples from … Continue reading
Posted in A/B Testing, Bayes, Data Analytics, Data Driven Management, Probability, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged A/B Testing, Bayes, Data Analysis, Probability, Simulation, Statistics
Leave a comment
Lies,damn lies, statistics,predictions – the world is more random than you might think…
For a number of years ago, John Ionnidis published a paper claiming to prove that most research papers are in fact wrong. That is, the findings of many/most research papers can actually not be reproduced by other, independent teams. According … Continue reading
Posted in A/B Testing, Bayes, Data Driven Management, Numpy, Probability, Python, Research, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged A/B Testing, Bayes, Evidence Based Decision Making, Matplotlib, Numpy, Probability, Python, Research, Simulation, Statistics
Leave a comment
Val 2018 – KD ramlar ur Riksdagen
Har nu uppdaterat både datat och min Bayesian Inferencemodell, datat genom att lägga till siffrorna från samtliga övriga opinionsinstitut, och modellen körs numera i Stan, ett domänspecifikt språk för statistiska analyser. Efter en körning av samtliga publicerade opinionsundersökningar sedan valet … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Numpy, Politik, Probability, Pystan, Python, Society, STAN, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Politik, Probability, Pystan, Python, STAN, Statistics, Val2018
Leave a comment
Bayesian Inference av kommande resultat i Kommunalvalet i min hemkommun
Såg just att i en Facebook-grupp finns en poll “Vilket parti skulle du rösta på i kommunalvalet idag?” Eftersom den politiska situationen i min hemkommun är “lätt” turbulent, så tänkte jag att det kunde vara kul att köra en Bayesian … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Politik, Probability, Python, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Politik, Probability, Statistics, Sverige, Val2018
Leave a comment
A/B-testing on trendline data using Bayesian Inference
Asume we are in the process of doing evidence based testing of two competing strategies, “A” and “B”, and we want to evaluate these competing strategies over several days, weeks, months or whatever timespan we have decided upon. That is, … Continue reading
Posted in A/B Testing, Bayes, Data Analytics, Data Driven Management, Numpy, Probability, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged A/B Testing, Bayes, Probability, Python, Statistics
Leave a comment
systems perestroika - éminence grise 