Monthly Archives: July 2018

Convolutional Neural Networks with KERAS – Image recognition

A quick test shot with KERAS, inspired by this tutorial using the MNIST dataset of more than 60000 images of hand written digits. Task at hand: correctly identify as many as possible of these 28 x 28 images, looking like … Continue reading

Posted in Big Data, Complex Systems, Data Analytics, KERAS, Machine Learning, Neural networks, Numpy, Python | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Scientific Gambling – Bayesian prediction & betting results from FIFA World Cup 2018

32 teams, 64 games.  3 different ranking models tested, FIFA’s official, a “wisdom-of-crowds” (static), and a dynamic version of the wisdom-of-crowds model. Prediction results: 67% of game outcomes correctly predicted. Betting results best strategy (max probability), with uniform betting on … Continue reading

Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, FIFA, Gambling, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

ÅF Offshore Race – S/Y Singdoy WP ETA Prediction

LAT LON COG DIST LEGTIME CUMDIST TOT_TIME TIMEDELTA 0 59.32 18.09 0 nan nan nan nan NaT 1 59.32 18.11 103 0.84 0.12 0.84 0.12 0 days 00:07:14.260800 2 59.32 18.16 83 1.45 0.21 2.30 0.33 0 days 00:19:41.160000 3 … Continue reading

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