Independent Dissident. I don’t follow “The Science” (TM). I follow the Data. –“When there is no such thing as truth, you can’t define reality. & when you can’t define reality, the only thing that matters is power.” — Maajid Nawaz
Don’t follow the herd, follow your own internal compass
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"Veritas vos liberabit"
"The comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because it is right." -- Dr. Martin Luther King
"Rättvisa handlar inte om lika utfall, utan om lika spelregler" -- Alice Teodorescu
“The mediocre teacher tells. The good teacher explains. The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires.” ― William Arthur Ward
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" -- John Maynard Keynes
""Don't attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by a contract." -- Anonymous
"Without deviations from the norm, progress is not possible" -- Frank Zappa
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy and they in turn must study those subjects so that their children can study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain." -- John Adams, Americas II president
"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
"The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." -- Edmund Burke
"Being normal is being merely average" -- Shawn Achor
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” -- Upton Sinclair
"I do not agree with what you have to say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it." -- VoltaireSystems view
"Our organization was designed for a problem that no longer existed; we had brought an industrial age force to an information-age conflict." --Stan McChrystal- A/B Testing
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Tag Archives: Black Swan
Probability Distributions for Dummies – Drunken walks and blindfolded archers
After having spent a few evenings exploring Python’s various math & science modules, specifically those dealing with probability, simulation and statistics, perhaps it’s time for a brief summary. In my previous recent posts, I’ve gone thru concepts such as mild … Continue reading
The blindfolded archer – Cauchy distribution: when randomness gets wild
This is part 2 of my exploration of PyMC, and I will continue using the example from part one, where I concluded that the data of my experiment, a dataset consisting of a list of daily visitor counts to one … Continue reading
Posted in development, Math, software
Tagged Black Swan, Mand, Math, Monte Carlo, programming, Python, Randomness, Simulation, Statistics, Taleb
2 Comments
Bayesian analysis of web traffic reveals Black Swans
Continuing my exploration of PyMC, the Python library for Bayesian statistics – from the Introduction section in PyMC documentation: “PyMC is a python module that implements Bayesian statistical models and fitting algorithms, including Markov chain Monte Carlo” I gathered visitor … Continue reading
Posted in development, Math, software
Tagged Black Swan, Mandelbrot, Math, Python, Randomness, software, Statistics, Taleb
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Samsung establishes itself in LTE network business
Whoa! Where did these guys come from…? I mean, Samsung used to be consumer gizmo’s exclusively, flat screen TV’s, cell phones etc, and now, all of sudden, they are taking state-of-the-art network business from the established NEP’s… A clear example … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Innovation, Systems, Technology, Telecom
Tagged Black Swan, business, Clayton Christensen, innovation, systems, Taleb, Technology
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Denning on Innovation, Agility & accountability
Interesting post again from Steve Denning, this time on USAF’s 1.3BUSD lessons learned… Also great to see that Denning references “The Prof’s” recent book, Enterprise Software Delivery
Posted in Agile, development, Leadership, Management, Organization, software, Systems
Tagged agile, Black Swan, business, development, innovation, leadership, management, organization, Steve Denning
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systems perestroika - éminence grise 