Category Archives: Politik

From Fragile Globalism to Robust and Sustainable Localism…? 

From Der Spiegel International : From Fragile Globalism to Robust and sustainable Localism…? “The virus has revealed just how vulnerable our economic model is, regardless of how profitable it has been for Germany’s export industry. Those companies whose production chains … Continue reading

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The Swedish Exception?

Originally posted on Behavioural Public Policy Blog:
Erik Angner & Gustaf Arrhenius Stockholm University & Institute for Futures Studies   It is still too early to determine which national responses to the 2020 coronavirus pandemic worked, and which ones did…

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Corona – Sweden and Netherlands – the Anomalies

[UPDATE: Added Germany + Canada] [All data from Johns Hopkins CSSE] Noticed a couple of interesting patterns when I put the growth rates for Confirmed and Deceased on the same chart, for a set of countries: Let’s start by looking … Continue reading

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Corona Sweden – day of reckoning coming up!

A couple of days ago I pointed out that thus far, Sweden was an anomaly in the Corona dataset: – despite almost no restrictions on daily life – the restaurants and shops are still open, public transportation operates as normally … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden, The Anomaly: pure luck or are we doing something right…?

[UPDATE 2020-03-25: for numbers relative to population sizes, see here. And here is a great illustration of what I believe is the Swedish strategy for dealing with Corona] Sweden is, at least for time being, an anomaly in the Corona … Continue reading

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Corona – ratio of daily deaths caused by Corona, by country

Noticed something interesting (and possibly frightening) when I browsed the COVID1-19 death statistics, published by Johns Hopkins University: What I looked at this time (as illustrated in the graph below) is the ratio of deaths per day, presumably caused by … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden: at least 10.000 infected as of today, 2020-03-20

For exactly a week ago, when the Swedish number of infected was 814, I predicted (more correctly: my Bayesian Model did) that today, March 20, Sweden would have 10.000 infected. Looking at today’s official numbers, it seems that I was … Continue reading

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Corona Update 2020-03-15

Data up until yesterday: Sweden still on track to 10000 infected by 20th March, and 100.000 a week after that. At global level, the virus is now growing fast again, after having slowed down considerably in mid-feb. Mean growth factor … Continue reading

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Corona Update 2020-03-13

Unfortunately, the good folks at JohnHopkins, from where I normally pull the Corona daily data, seem now to have some inconsistencies in their datasets; for instance, neither Italy, Spain nor Finland, according to those datasets, showed any new cases between … Continue reading

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Corona update 2020-03-12

Update with data up until yesterday: Looking carefully at the black line, representing global nr of infected, it seems to start slowly rising again, after having  previously been slowing down.  Next chart might explain why: Below chart shows the Top-10 … Continue reading

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