Independent Dissident. I don’t follow “The Science” (TM). I follow the Data. –“When there is no such thing as truth, you can’t define reality. & when you can’t define reality, the only thing that matters is power.” — Maajid Nawaz
Don’t follow the herd, follow your own internal compass
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"Veritas vos liberabit"
"The comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because it is right." -- Dr. Martin Luther King
"Rättvisa handlar inte om lika utfall, utan om lika spelregler" -- Alice Teodorescu
“The mediocre teacher tells. The good teacher explains. The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires.” ― William Arthur Ward
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" -- John Maynard Keynes
""Don't attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by a contract." -- Anonymous
"Without deviations from the norm, progress is not possible" -- Frank Zappa
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy and they in turn must study those subjects so that their children can study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain." -- John Adams, Americas II president
"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
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"Being normal is being merely average" -- Shawn Achor
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” -- Upton Sinclair
"I do not agree with what you have to say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it." -- VoltaireSystems view
"Our organization was designed for a problem that no longer existed; we had brought an industrial age force to an information-age conflict." --Stan McChrystal- A/B Testing
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Tag Archives: LinearRegression
Impact of demographics on mortality
Does age structure of population impact mortality….? Below chart shows linear regression over proportion of population 80 years or older vs overall mortality for the Swedish population for years 2002 – 2020. Spot the outliers.
Bayesian Multiple Regression to identify likely causal associations
I’m using the Johns Hopkins Corona Virus dataset here to demonstrate how Multiple Regression can help to unmask associations between variables, and assist in figuring out which associations really impact the dependent variable, and which ones are only spurious relationships/correlations. … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Probability, PYMC, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, LinearRegression, MCMC, Probability, PYMC, Statistics
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Bayesian Linear Regression with PYMC, part II
In the previous post we looked at a simple linear regression between (simulated) human heights and weights. In that example, the regression was truly ‘linear’, in that the predictor variable only occured in its first power, to provide a linear regression … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Probability, PYMC, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, LinearRegression, Probability, PYMC, Simulation, Statistics
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Bayesian Linear Regression with PYMC
Is there a relationship between human height and weight…? Probably. But what does that relationship look like ? Those kinds of questions can be answered by Linear Regression. Below an example, using simulated data for weights,heights etc: import numpy as … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Numpy, Probability, PYMC, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, LinearRegression, Matplotlib, MCMC, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Simulation, Statistics
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Python,Pandas, Statsmodels – Multipredictor Linear Regression (code included)
The Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute, SMHI, provides (some of) its data to the public, as “Open Data“, accessable either by various API’s or by download from their website. I downloaded several of their CSV-files, containing historical weather-data for a … Continue reading
Posted in Big Data, Data Analytics, Data Driven Management, Numpy, Probability, Python, Statistics
Tagged Big Data, Data Analysis, LinearRegression, Matplotlib, Numpy, Pandas, Prediction, Probability, Python, Statistics, Statsmodels
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systems perestroika - éminence grise 