Independent Dissident. I don’t follow “The Science” (TM). I follow the Data. –“When there is no such thing as truth, you can’t define reality. & when you can’t define reality, the only thing that matters is power.” — Maajid Nawaz
Don’t follow the herd, follow your own internal compass
Ethics
"Veritas vos liberabit"
"The comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because it is right." -- Dr. Martin Luther King
"Rättvisa handlar inte om lika utfall, utan om lika spelregler" -- Alice Teodorescu
“The mediocre teacher tells. The good teacher explains. The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires.” ― William Arthur Ward
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" -- John Maynard Keynes
""Don't attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by a contract." -- Anonymous
"Without deviations from the norm, progress is not possible" -- Frank Zappa
"I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy and they in turn must study those subjects so that their children can study painting, poetry, music, architecture, statuary, tapestry, and porcelain." -- John Adams, Americas II president
"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
"The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." -- Edmund Burke
"Being normal is being merely average" -- Shawn Achor
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” -- Upton Sinclair
"I do not agree with what you have to say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it." -- VoltaireSystems view
"Our organization was designed for a problem that no longer existed; we had brought an industrial age force to an information-age conflict." --Stan McChrystal- A/B Testing
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Category Archives: Numpy
More Mindbending Probability
In a previous post, I discussed the seemingly unintuitive logic of the famous Monty Hall Problem. However, with some careful thinking, even without resorting to Monte Carlo Simulation, I’m able to make sense of that apparent paradox. However, the paradox … Continue reading
Corona : slowing down…?
Some further analysis on Corona, with data up and including yesterday. First, let’s look at the global spread: The first of these plots has linear (lin/lin) scale, and should be familiar from any of the many sites that post data … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Epidemics, Matplotlib, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, Python, Research, Scipy, Society, Statistics
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Vasaloppet 2018 – race time analysis
An analysis of race times for the ~11000 men and ~2000 women that participated in 2018 Vasaloppet. For explanations of the graphs, see earlier posts on Marcialonga or Tour de Ski. [Btw, the weird looking vertical orange/blue “spike” in the … Continue reading
Posted in Data Analytics, Numpy, Pandas, Python, sports, Statistics, Web
Tagged Data Analysis, Pandas, Python, sports, Statistics
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Tour de Ski Final climb – does age matter for performance ?
In an earlier post, I analyzed data from the Marcialonga Ski race. Marcialonga is one of the classic long distance ski races, where both elite’ as well as amateurs compete together. In fact, the vast majority of the competitors in … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Math, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, SNA, sports, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Matplotlib, Numpy, Probability, PYMC, Python, Scipy, sports, Statistics
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Marcialonga Ski 2019 – some Analytics
Now, with the power grid finally – after 62 hours! – back in business, I’m able to continue my stats/analytics exploration of the past Marcialonga ski race. First, some basic stats about the race: Total number of participants: 5558, of … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, sports, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, sports, Statistics, WebScraping
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Bayesian Linear Regression with PYMC
Python, Pandas & PYMC example on Bayesian Linear Regression, adopted from Richard McElreath’s “Statistical Rethinking” class, where he uses R as modeling language instead of PYMC. Data in a csv-file describe various attributes such as weight, height, age, gender etc … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Matplotlib, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Statistics
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Python & Pandas to map gps coordinates to known locations
Assume you have a gps log file, with time and position (Lat,Lon in columns 9,10) info, like: 2018.12.12 00:41:20;0;0;0;0;0;1;0;25.8;59.348978;17.969643;0;0; 2018.12.12 01:41:21;0;0;0;0;0;1;0;25.7;59.348962;17.969627;0;0; 2018.12.12 02:41:21;0;0;0;0;0;1;0;25.7;59.349;17.969688;0;0; 2018.12.12 03:41:21;0;0;0;0;0;1;0;25.7;59.349;17.96966;0;0; 2018.12.12 04:41:22;0;0;0;0;0;1;0;25.6;59.349007;17.969618;0;0; 2018.12.12 04:48:50;0;0;0;0;1;1;1;25.2;59.349007;17.969635;0;0; 2018.12.12 04:49:51;0;0.001;0;0;1;1;1;28.3;59.349;17.969642;0;0; Assume further that you’d like to map each of … Continue reading
Posted in Maritime Technology, Nautical Information Systems, Numpy, Pandas, Python
Tagged GPS, Numpy, Pandas, Python
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Using Bayesian Inference to predict and bet on Italian Serie A Fotball
As my old timer readers know, I’be been using Bayesian Inference to predict and bet on various sporting events, such as FIFA World Cup, and IIHF World Championships. With some success. When the Italian premier division started for about a … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Data Analytics, Gambling, Machine Learning, Numpy, Probability, PYMC, Python, Simulation, Statistics
Tagged Bayes, Gambling, Machine Learning, Matplotlib, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Scipy, Simulation, sports, Statistics, Technology
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Bayesian Multi-predictor Regression – Valet2018
[Continuing my exploration of the Swedish election results, but I thought this might be of interest also for those of you not very interested in the Swedish elections, simply because the potential MatStat’s insights – thus, the text is in … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Big Data, Data Analytics, Data Driven Management, Numpy, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Python, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige
Tagged Bayes, Data Analysis, Matplotlib, Numpy, Pandas, Probability, PYMC, Python, Scipy, Statistics, Val2018
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systems perestroika - éminence grise 