Category Archives: Organization

The Predicament of the Modern Civilization – Human Nature Combined With a Finite Planet

A great tutorial by Nate Hagens on why our current civilization is facing some serious challenges, and why it’s not only unlikely, but mathematically impossible for humankind to proceed along the current path.

Posted in Climate, Complex Systems, Culture, Economy, Energy, Finance, Future, Global Catastrophic Risk, Leadership, Money, Organization, Physics, Politik, Psychology, Science, Society, The Great Reset | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The role of Energy in human evolution

This conversation between Nate Hagens and Daniel Schmachtenberger takes you on a journey spanning from the dawn of civilization to the future. It reveals the vital role energy – and storage of energy – has played during the evolution of … Continue reading

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Corona weekly trends US & Sweden – Expected vs Actual Deaths

[UPDATE: nice to see that the official experts seem to agree… 🙂  ] US now looks like being on a stable track of decline, it’s the second consecutive week now with the Actual weekly deaths being significantly lower than Expectation, … Continue reading

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Corona Sweden – day of reckoning coming up!

A couple of days ago I pointed out that thus far, Sweden was an anomaly in the Corona dataset: – despite almost no restrictions on daily life – the restaurants and shops are still open, public transportation operates as normally … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden Anomaly or not…? It’s all about the slopes…!

[UPDATE 2020-03-25 : A couple of  interesting pieces, {article article2} about “The Swedish Way to deal with Corona”, where among others German scientists state that the swedish way is an optimal model for how to deal with Corona in order … Continue reading

Posted in Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Organization, Probability, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Corona – Sweden, The Anomaly: pure luck or are we doing something right…?

[UPDATE 2020-03-25: for numbers relative to population sizes, see here. And here is a great illustration of what I believe is the Swedish strategy for dealing with Corona] Sweden is, at least for time being, an anomaly in the Corona … Continue reading

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Corona – ratio of daily deaths caused by Corona, by country

Noticed something interesting (and possibly frightening) when I browsed the COVID1-19 death statistics, published by Johns Hopkins University: What I looked at this time (as illustrated in the graph below) is the ratio of deaths per day, presumably caused by … Continue reading

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Corona – Sweden: at least 10.000 infected as of today, 2020-03-20

For exactly a week ago, when the Swedish number of infected was 814, I predicted (more correctly: my Bayesian Model did) that today, March 20, Sweden would have 10.000 infected. Looking at today’s official numbers, it seems that I was … Continue reading

Posted in Bayes, Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Functional Stupidity, Organization, Politik, Probability, PYMC, Research, Society, Statistics, Sverige | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Corona update 2020-03-14

Data uptil yesterday, except for first plot, which also contains today’s data: unfortunately, it looks like my “gutsy” prediction from yesterday, that Sweden will have 10.000 infected in a week from now, still stands. And if the trend continues for … Continue reading

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Corona Update 2020-03-13

Unfortunately, the good folks at JohnHopkins, from where I normally pull the Corona daily data, seem now to have some inconsistencies in their datasets; for instance, neither Italy, Spain nor Finland, according to those datasets, showed any new cases between … Continue reading

Posted in Big Government, Culture, Data Analytics, Epidemics, Leadership, Organization, Pandas, Politik, Research, Statistics, Sverige | Tagged , , , , , , , | 3 Comments