SWEDEN – seasonal mortality & excess deaths, flu season’s 2015/16 – 2020/21, Final

This post compares Swedish all cause mortality for the seasons 2015/16 to 2020/21.

A season is defined as the period from October to September.

Why use seasons asop to calendar year ? Because flu is seasonal, as is all cause mortality, at least at our latitudes.

As of yesterday, SCB’s prel. all cause death data for September 2021 can be considered stable (why…? check this post, section “Can we trust the preliminary data”). Thus, we now have six complete seasons to look at.

So, let’s have a look at all cause mortality, deaths and excess deaths for the six seasons, starting from October 2015 ending last of September, 2021.

First, non-age adjusted all cause mortality:

seasonal non-age-adj. mortality

Next, let’s peruse the age group [-64, 65-79, 80-89, 90+] based population and death data, and define Expected Deaths based on the average mortality per age group, seasons 15/16 to 18/19, and Excess deaths as the difference between Observed (actual) age group deaths and Expected Deaths:

seasonal age group based expected vs observed deaths

There’s one “anomaly” on these charts, and neither 2020 nor 2021, the “Pandemic Years”, are part of that anomaly. “Sweden – The World’s Cautionary Tale”….? Judge for yourself.

About swdevperestroika

High tech industry veteran, avid hacker reluctantly transformed to mgmt consultant.
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2 Responses to SWEDEN – seasonal mortality & excess deaths, flu season’s 2015/16 – 2020/21, Final

  1. Brad and Rachel Forwell says:

    I think I owe you a six pack of fine Swedish craft beer, 😉

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