Look at that headline – scary, isn’t it ? 42% increase in cases from previous week…!
Let’s have a look:
Look at the top plot depicting “cases” : notice how the latest two weeks both are above 1, i.e. the weekly case count is higher than the preceding week: 23% and 42%, respectively. Surely a clear sign that the dreaded DELTA now is here to kill us all, or at least put us in ICU….?
Perhaps not… again, it’s important to distinguish between “Relative Shark & Absolute Penguin”, that is, looking at both relative as well as absolute numbers:
Below the weekly counts of cases, ICU’s and Deaths:
I don’t know about you, but to me, there’s a world of difference in conclusions between the “42% increase!” type of headline I’m sure we are now going to see in media, and the conclusions to draw from the bottom graph.